New York and Illinois moved this week to block state employees from using prediction markets, citing a surge in insider trading risks. Governor Kathy Hochul signed an executive order on April 22, 2026, following Illinois Governor JB Pritzker’s similar action just days earlier. The orders aim to stop public officials from profiting on non-public information. […]
Two of the biggest names in finance are eyeing a controversial new corner of the markets. Charles Schwab and Citadel Securities have both signaled they are actively considering entering the prediction market sector. This move, confirmed in executive comments this week, could bring massive institutional heft to a space currently dominated by retail-focused platforms like […]
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Federal regulators are examining whether traders had advance knowledge of Trump administration decisions on Iran, according to a new report. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched an investigation into suspicious oil futures trades that occurred just minutes before two major policy announcements in March and April 2026. This CFTC investigation […]
Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market platform, briefly surfaced in Google News search results alongside major publishers like Reuters before being swiftly removed. According to a report by The Verge on April 11, 2026, a Google spokesperson called the appearance an error. This incident has ignited fresh discussion about how tech giants classify and regulate emerging […]
New data delivers a sobering message for retail participants in crypto prediction markets: the dream of quitting a day job to trade full-time remains out of reach for the overwhelming majority. Analysis of Polymarket trading activity shows that while some users post profits, only a microscopic fraction achieve earnings large and consistent enough to rival […]
As geopolitical tensions flared in the Middle East in early 2026, a new type of financial signal captured the attention of professional trading desks. Prediction markets, where users bet on specific event outcomes, began moving faster than traditional news cycles. According to analysis from Sygnum Bank, these platforms have evolved from a niche curiosity into […]
A Nevada judge has dealt a significant blow to prediction market platform Kalshi, extending a ban on its operations in the state and flatly rejecting the company’s argument that its products are regulated financial instruments, not gambling. Judge Jason Woodbury’s ruling on April 1, 2026, in Carson City supports the Nevada Gaming Control Board’s position […]
Polymarket, a major cryptocurrency-based prediction market, faced intense criticism and removed a market speculating on the fate of a missing US service member. The platform cited “integrity standards” but provided no specific rule violation, sparking user confusion and highlighting ongoing regulatory gray areas for these speculative platforms. Polymarket removes controversial military market On April 3, […]
NEW YORK, April 1, 2026 – The top enforcement official at the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has delivered a blunt message to participants in prediction markets: insider trading laws apply, and violators will be prosecuted. David Miller, the CFTC’s Director of Enforcement, directly challenged what he called a pervasive “myth” during a panel […]
Transaction volumes on blockchain-based prediction markets have skyrocketed this month, hitting a staggering $23.7 billion in notional trading volume for March 2026. This represents a massive leap from the $1.9 billion recorded during the same period last year. The surge is largely driven by intense user interest in contracts tied to U.S. politics, global conflicts, […]
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