XRP may rise 30% as traders withdraw 35M tokens from exchanges in a single day, on-chain data shows. The move reduces selling pressure and often precedes short-term price gains.
XRP exchange outflow spikes to 35 million tokens
Data from Santiment reveals that XRP Ledger recorded nearly 35 million XRP in exchange outflows on April 25, 2026. That marks the sixth-largest daily outflow of the year. Large outflows typically mean investors are moving tokens to private wallets or custody. This reduces the supply available for immediate sale.
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Earlier in 2026, similar spikes led to rallies. In March, a comparable outflow surge preceded a 20% rebound. February’s outflow spike was followed by a 48% to 50% gain. These precedents strengthen the view that the latest withdrawal may push XRP prices higher in May.
ETF inflows add to bullish signals
US-based spot XRP ETFs have also seen three consecutive weeks of net inflows. Data from SoSoValue shows total inflows of $82.88 million as of April 25. This pushed total assets under management to $1.1 billion. The streak signals rising institutional appetite for XRP products.
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Combined with exchange outflows, the ETF data reinforces an accumulation narrative. Investors appear to be holding XRP rather than trading it.
Whale flows turn positive for XRP
CryptoQuant data shows that XRP whale flows have flipped positive. The 90-day moving average of whale flows moved back above zero in April, after spending much of early 2026 in negative territory. Positive whale flows suggest larger wallets are accumulating rather than distributing.
Historically, positive whale-flow regimes have preceded stronger XRP price trends. The May–July 2025 rally is one example. The shift supports the broader accumulation picture visible in exchange outflows and ETF inflows.
Technical wedge pattern points to 30% rally
XRP’s price chart shows a falling wedge pattern that has been forming for two years. The pattern consists of two downward-sloping, converging trend lines. XRP’s April rebound from the lower trend line support now raises the odds of a move toward the upper boundary.
The target zone aligns with the 50-week EMA and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement near $1.87 to $1.89. That is about 30% above current levels. The move could occur by June if the pattern holds.
Bearish risk remains
A decisive break below the wedge’s lower trend line would invalidate the bullish narrative. In that case, XRP could decline toward $0.98. That level aligns with the wedge’s apex point and the 0.786 Fib line.
Traders should watch for a close below the lower trend line as a warning signal.
What the data means for XRP holders
The combination of exchange outflows, positive whale flows, and ETF inflows creates a strong accumulation case. On-chain metrics suggest that both retail and institutional investors are reducing available supply. This typically supports higher prices.
The technical wedge pattern adds a potential upside target of 30%. But the pattern is not guaranteed. A break below support would shift the outlook bearish.
Industry watchers note that XRP’s price action often follows on-chain signals with a lag of several days to weeks. The latest data points to a possible rally in May, but traders should manage risk accordingly.
Conclusion
XRP may rise 30% as traders withdraw 35M tokens from exchanges, on-chain data shows. Combined with positive whale flows and ETF inflows, the accumulation narrative is strong. The technical wedge pattern supports a move toward $1.89 by June. However, a break below support could reverse the outlook. Investors should monitor exchange outflow and whale flow data for confirmation.
FAQs
Q1: What does a large XRP exchange outflow mean?
A large exchange outflow means traders are moving XRP tokens off exchanges into private wallets. This reduces the supply available for sale and often precedes price increases.
Q2: How much XRP was withdrawn on April 25, 2026?
Nearly 35 million XRP tokens were withdrawn from exchanges in a single day, marking the sixth-largest daily outflow of the year.
Q3: What is the XRP wedge pattern?
The falling wedge pattern is a technical chart formation with two downward-sloping, converging trend lines. A breakout above the upper trend line often signals a bullish reversal.
Q4: What is the target price if XRP breaks out?
The target is near $1.87 to $1.89, which is about 30% above current levels. That aligns with the 50-week EMA and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement.
Q5: What could invalidate the bullish XRP outlook?
A decisive break below the wedge’s lower trend line could invalidate the bullish narrative. In that case, XRP might decline toward $0.98.
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