XRP price is repeating a technical pattern from 2025 that previously triggered a 66% rally, signaling potential for further gains. The cryptocurrency broke out of a multi-month bull flag, with key indicators supporting a bullish outlook. This development comes as XRP trades above $1.40, a critical support level that could pave the way for a move toward $2.35.
XRP Price Chart Fractal Targets $2.35
XRP’s daily price action mirrors a structure seen after the April 2025 cycle low. That formation preceded a sharp upward continuation. The current pattern emerged after multi-week consolidation inside a bull flag. A bullish cross between the 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) now reinforces the setup.
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In early July 2025, XRP broke above the flag’s upper boundary. This triggered short liquidations and fresh buying, delivering 66% gains to an all-time high of $3.66 within two weeks. Today, XRP follows a similar trajectory. The price has again broken out of a bull flag, with a pending EMA crossover. If history repeats, XRP could rally by more than 66% toward $2.35.
Further confirmation hinges on the price holding above $1.40. This level aligns with the flag’s upper boundary and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Analyst Jack Straw noted on X: “XRP is gaining momentum above $1.40, holding firmly over its 100-hour SMA. A clean break above $1.420 could trigger the next leg up.”
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Fellow analyst Sam Mti echoed this sentiment, stating XRP was “looking good” after a buy signal from the MTI indicator. He highlighted potential to move above $1.45 as long as support at $1.40 holds. As Cointelegraph reported, a close above $1.40 gives buyers the upper hand, paving the way for a rally toward $2 and then $2.40.
XRP Spot Taker CVD Signals Buyer Dominance
XRP’s 90-day spot taker cumulative volume delta (CVD) shows buyers have regained control. CVD measures the difference between buy and sell volume over three months. The metric flipped positive on May 1, as XRP broke above the $1.38 resistance. It has remained positive since, indicating optimism among traders.
If the CVD stays green, buyers are not backing down. This could set the stage for another rally, similar to June 2025 when a similar occurrence accompanied 70% XRP price gains. The positive CVD reflects active positioning for further upside.
Open Interest Delta Confirms Growing Momentum
XRP’s open interest (OI) delta also flipped positive, rising to $27 million on May 1. This reflects a change in active derivatives positioning. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha explained: “A sharp positive reading suggests that new positions are being added to the market. When this happens while price is rising, it often shows that traders are increasing exposure as momentum begins to recover.”
The combination of positive CVD and rising OI delta strengthens the bullish case. These metrics suggest both spot and derivatives traders are aligning for a sustained move higher.
Technical Indicators Support Bullish Outlook
Beyond the bull flag pattern, several technical indicators support XRP’s upward potential. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) shows a bullish crossover on the daily chart. The relative strength index (RSI) remains in neutral territory, leaving room for further gains without entering overbought conditions.
Volume analysis also confirms the breakout. Trading volume spiked during the recent price surge, indicating strong participation. This contrasts with the consolidation phase, where volume had declined. Higher volume on breakouts typically validates the move’s sustainability.
Key support levels include $1.40, $1.38, and $1.30. Resistance levels are at $1.50, $1.60, and $2.00. A sustained break above $1.50 could accelerate buying pressure, targeting the psychological $2 mark.
Market Context and Broader Implications
XRP’s technical strength comes amid broader market optimism. The cryptocurrency market has shown resilience, with Bitcoin and Ethereum also posting gains. Positive regulatory developments, including clearer frameworks in the US and EU, have boosted investor confidence.
Institutional interest in XRP has grown. Recent data shows increased inflows into XRP-focused investment products. This mirrors trends seen in 2025, when institutional buying preceded major rallies. The current setup suggests a similar dynamic may be unfolding.
However, risks remain. The broader macroeconomic environment, including interest rate decisions and geopolitical tensions, could impact risk assets. Traders should monitor these factors alongside technical signals.
Conclusion
XRP price is repeating a 2025 chart fractal that previously sparked 66% gains. The bull flag breakout, positive CVD, and rising OI delta all support a bullish outlook. If history repeats, XRP could target $2.35 in the coming weeks. Traders should watch the $1.40 support level for confirmation. While risks exist, the technical and on-chain indicators paint a compelling picture for XRP’s near-term trajectory.
FAQs
Q1: What is the XRP chart fractal from 2025?
The fractal refers to a technical pattern where XRP broke out of a bull flag in July 2025, leading to a 66% price rally to an all-time high of $3.66. The current pattern mirrors this structure.
Q2: What is a bull flag pattern in trading?
A bull flag is a bullish continuation pattern. It forms when a sharp price rally (flagpole) is followed by a consolidation period (flag) within parallel trendlines. A breakout above the flag signals further upside.
Q3: Why is the $1.40 level important for XRP?
$1.40 is the upper boundary of the bull flag and the 50-day SMA. Holding above this level confirms the breakout and could trigger a rally toward $2.35. A break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
Q4: What does the spot taker CVD indicate?
The cumulative volume delta (CVD) measures the difference between buy and sell volume. A positive CVD means buyers are dominating, suggesting confidence and potential for further price gains.
Q5: What are the risks to XRP’s current rally?
Risks include broader market downturns, regulatory changes, macroeconomic factors like interest rate hikes, and failure to hold key support levels. Traders should use stop-losses and manage risk.
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