Bitcoin stands at a pivotal moment, caught between surging ETF inflows and extreme volatility. With price predictions ranging from $75,000 to $200,000, traders face a high-stakes battle between bullish momentum and profit-taking pressure. Will BTC break through $130,000 or face a steep correction?
Bitcoin News: ETF Inflows Slow Amid Volatility Spike
Recent data shows Bitcoin ETF weekly net inflows dropped 80% to $496 million, while volatility spreads surged 77%. Key metrics reveal:
- Spot trading volume: $8.6 billion daily
- Futures open interest: $45.6 billion
- Active addresses declined 2.4% to 708,000
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Bulls vs Bears
Analysts are deeply divided on Bitcoin’s trajectory:
| Bull Case | Bear Case |
|---|---|
| $200,000 target (Standard Chartered) | $75,000 correction risk |
| Post-halving scarcity boost | Regulatory uncertainty |
| Institutional adoption growing | Macroeconomic headwinds |
Bitcoin Halving Impact: Muted This Cycle?
The April 2024 halving hasn’t triggered the usual post-event surge. Possible reasons:
- Inflation concerns dampening enthusiasm
- Central bank policies creating uncertainty
- Institutional flows altering traditional cycles
Bitcoin Volatility: A Double-Edged Sword
The 77% surge in volatility spreads creates both risk and opportunity:
- Options market shows demand for both protection and speculation
- 25-delta skew remains slightly positive
- Fear & Greed Index at 72 (extreme greed)
What’s Next for Bitcoin?
The $116,000 level serves as a critical inflection point. A break above could target $130,000, while failure may trigger a deeper correction. Institutional adoption continues growing (MicroStrategy now holds 597,325 BTC), but regulatory clarity remains elusive.
FAQs
Q: Why is Bitcoin volatility increasing?
A: The 77% volatility spike reflects market uncertainty about ETF flows, macroeconomic conditions, and regulatory developments.
Q: Are Bitcoin ETFs still attracting investment?
A: Yes, but weekly net inflows have dropped to $496 million from higher levels earlier in 2025.
Q: What’s the most bullish Bitcoin price prediction?
A: Standard Chartered and Bernstein project $200,000 by year-end, citing ETF demand and post-halving scarcity.
Q: Could Bitcoin really drop to $75,000?
A: Some analysts warn of this possibility if macroeconomic conditions worsen or regulatory pressures increase.
